Shocking Stats! Or, Not Really....

Shocking stats!

Using the 82games.com player tandem feature, I noticed the following:

Foye's winning % with the following players: McCants (46%), Brewer (46%), Snyder (42%), Gomes (26%), Jaric (25%), Telfair (13%), Buckner 0%).

So, with McCants, Brewer and Snyder paired with Foye, we beat the other team's lineup nearly half of the time...pretty damn good for 18-4363 team.

Other notable stats:

* A Brewer-McCants tandem has a 56% win %
* The McCants-Snyder tandem has a 50% win %
* A Brewer-Snyder tandem has a 50% win %
* A Gomes-Snyder tandem has a 28% win %
* Chris Richard has a 54% overall win % (the only positive win % on the team)

So, let's think about what we see from this data...

The team is near a 50% winning % when Foye is paired with McCants and Brewer and suffer only a small drop-off when paired with Snyder.

The combo of Brewer and McCants beats the other team more often than not and the combos of McCants and Snyder and Brewer and Snyder split against the other team.

Statistically speaking, it would make sense then to have the 1/2/3 depth chart look like:

Foye
McCants/Snyder
Brewer/Snyder

...based on success.

Then, obviously you have Al at the 4 because Al is Al. And, noting that Chris Richard has the only positive win % on the team, why not start him at center?

That gives us constant lineup that split or defeat the opposition on average plus a dominant PF. Not bad, considering we're 18-6293 and Snyder's the old guy in that lineup at 24 or 25 years old.

Thinking about these stats, in the off-season one would be inclined to do the following (assuming we don't have a top 2 pick):

Draft a Brook Lopez, Hasheem Thabeet, JaVale McGee to rotate with Chris Richard at the center position...clearly Richard has a positive win % because he's the only true center on the roster...discussed ad nauseum.

Sign Craig Smith as a scoring PF off the bench for the 5-10 minutes Jefferson needs to sit a game. If he wants more money and/or PT than that, let him walk.

Same for Ryan Gomes.

Sign Bassy Telfair as decent PG of fthe bench for the 5-10 minutes Foye needs to sit a game. If he wants more money and/or PT than that, let him walk.

Trade Jaric for a sack of rocks.

Sign/draft 2nd players to replace any or all of Smith, Gomes and Telfair if they leave.



Hmmm...I kind of like the stats. Though my dream off-season would be a little different (Beasley, Rose, Mayo would be nice), I think the above makes sense.